NBA playoff projections: Teams hurt, helped most by a new format

  • Co-author, Pro Basketball Prospectus series
  • Formerly a consultant with the Indiana Pacers
  • Developed WARP rating and SCHOENE system

How might the atypical format for this year’s NBA playoffs affect teams’ championship odds if the season resumes this summer?

While the NBA hasn’t yet made any decisions on how the postseason might unfold, we do know one thing for certain: Traditional home-court advantage won’t apply with the league in negotiations to play all games at Disney’s ESPN Wide World of Sports Complex in Orlando, Florida. That could affect the teams that worked hard throughout the first five-plus months of the season to secure home court.

Which teams might benefit the most? And which teams will be hurt? Let’s run some projections to find out.

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