Golden Boot race analysed with four goals separating seven Premier League stars

The race for the Premier League Golden Boot always tends to go down to the wire, but there is a new level of intrigue as the halfway point of the season approaches.

Just four goals separate current leader Mohamed Salah and seventh-placed Patrick Bamford.

The top seven contains three previous Golden Boot winners, with Harry Kane and Jamie Vardy among those trailing two-time winner Salah.

With more than half of the campaign still to go, the race is very much on to finish top of the charts.

Here, we assess the frontrunners for the award, and rate their chances of taking it home come the final day.

Mohamed Salah – 13

Salah is seeking a hat-trick of golden boots after winning the award outright in 2017/2018 and sharing it with Sadio Mane and Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang two seasons ago.

The Liverpool star leads the way this year, netting 13 goals in 13 games so far, at an astonishing rate of 1.08 goals per 90 minutes.

Few would bet against him being the winner for the third time in four years, as he plays a vital part in Jurgen Klopp’s side.

The Reds are the leading scorers in the division and Salah’s current strike rate of a goal every game would equal 38 goals, which would be a Premier League record.

Odds – 21/10

Jamie Vardy – 11

Last season’s Golden Boot winner has continued his fine form in front of goal, finding the back of the net 11 times so far for Leicester.

Nine of those goals have come from the 33-year-old’s lethal right foot, with the former England star netting more than 20 goals three times in the past five years.

Vardy also has the benefit of being Leicester’s designated penalty taker, which will serve him well as he hunts down Salah.

Odds – 4/1

Heung Min-Son – 11

Son is a relative newcomer to the race for the Golden Boot, having not appeared in the top five Premier League goalscorers since his move to Tottenham in 2015.

The South Korean’s partnership with two-time winner Harry Kane has reaped dividends this season, as the pair have combined an astonishing 12 times this campaign.

If he continues that remarkable run and wins the Golden Boot, Son would be the first Asian winner in Premier League history.

Odds – 10/1

Dominic Calvert-Lewin – 11

Everton striker Calvert-Lewin has been in rich form for Carlo Ancelotti’s side this year, as he has established himself as the Toffees’ first-choice striker.

The 23-year-old is the only player out of the seven frontrunners yet to register an assist this season, but his aerial presence gives him a unique advantage in the race for the Golden Bott.

If the England man was to win, he would be the first ever Everton player to be the top-flight’s leading scorer in the Premier League era.

Odds – 9/1

Harry Kane – 9

The perennial Golden Boot challenger has been handed a different role to his usual goalscorer brief by Tottenham boss Jose Mourinho this season, but the England captain has still notched nine goals.

Kane has enjoyed several incredible seasons in front of goal for his club and has already picked up two Premier League Golden Boot awards.

The Spurs star holds the unusual record of being the first Premier League player to score on every day of the week and in every month of the year.

And, although he has the lowest goals per minute rate out of the top seven, Kane should be pushing for the award come May.

Odds – 9/2

Bruno Fernandes – 9

A somewhat surprise face among the frontrunners, although his accuracy from the penalty spot, coupled with Manchester United ’s propensity for winning them, could give him hope that he will still be in the race in May.

Fernandes has missed just three penalties in his career, and Premier League keepers seem to have no answer to his unique run-up.

What will count against the Portuguese midfielder though is the fact that a midfielder is yet to win the Golden Boot award in the Premier League’s 28-year history.

Odds – 16/1

Patrick Bamford – 9

Although Bamford entered this season with a reputation for missing chances, the Leeds striker has proven the doubters wrong.

He has continued his fine form from Leeds’ Championship-winning campaign and became the first player since 1938 to score in each of this opening three top-flight away games.

If he did win the Golden Boot, Bamford would be the first winner from a newly-promoted side since Kevin Phillips scored 30 goals for Sunderland in 1999/2000.

And leading the line for Marcelo Bielsa’s all-out attacking Leeds side, the Englishman should get plenty of chances.

Odds – 25/1

Odds collected from Betfair.

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