Nick Quinn: Expert tips and betting analysis for Caulfield
TAB form expert Nick Quinn casts his eye over the races at Caulfield, including the Opening Handicap on Saturday.
BEST BET
Mystery Shot (Caulfield Saturday, Race 9, No. 1)
VALUE BET
Thy Kingdom Come (Rosehill Saturday, Race 8, No. 3)
LAY OF THE WEEK
Red Can Man (Belmont Saturday Race 7, No. 7)
LATEST BETTING: TAB FIXED ODDS
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Jungle Edge after winning the Neds Sir John Monash Stakes at Caulfield. Picture: Natasha Morello/Racing Photos via GettySource:Getty Images
CAULFIELD
RACE 7: BLETCHINGLY STAKES (1200m)
The question is whether superlative wet tracker Jungle Edge gets enough sting out of the ground. The much-loved veteran has run well on good ground, but is winless in 26 starts on firm surfaces. But he has an amazing record of 19 victories on soft or heavy ground, including a brave last-start win against many of his rivals here in the Group 3 Sir John Monash Stakes. The rain came for him on race day and so did the money. Again, Jungle Edge will be up on speed and hard to beat. He is currently $5.50 second elect, and if the rain comes his odds will shorten. Viridine chased hard for second behind Jungle Edge last start and steps up to 1200m, where he is a three-time winner. He has drawn well and with Damien Oliver riding shapes as the one to beat. Great Again is racing in terrific form, but I think he is a better straight horse and am concerned how he will handle Caulfield. Widgee Turf is a model of consistency and worth including in your multiples.
THE TIP: VIRIDINE
RACE 9: OPEN HANDICAP (1400m)
Mystery Shot. Picture: Pat Scala/Racing Photos via GettySource:Getty Images
Mystery Shot has won all four career starts and the money has come for the Spicer Thoroughbreds runner to make it a perfect five. He has been backed from $3.20 into $2.40. He defied a betting drift at Caulfield last start to win strongly. Outside Mystery Shot, it is a competitive race. Splendoronthegrass scored back-to-back wins before running into Mystery Shot two starts ago. Former Kiwi Savvy Lad underwhelmed in two Australian runs this campaign but his New Zealand form would put him right in this. He should be worth sticking with.
THE TIP: MYSTERY SHOT
ROSEHILL
RACE 8: BENCHMARK 84 HANDICAP (1300m)
A competitive betting race with money for the Freedman-trained Outback Diva, and the Baker-trained Prime Candidate. Both have been $4.60 into $4. Prime Candidate won five of his first eight starts, and his two runs this campaign indicate he is ready to win. The value runner with different form lines is Thy Kingdom Come. Returning from three Queensland starts that netted a win and two placings, he should be in the finish at $12.
The tip: Thy Kingdom Come, each way
Originally published asNick Quinn’s tips: No Mystery at Caulfield
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