SuperCoach Racing Round 5: Rob Sutherland’s metric picks for Derby Day and Golden Eagle

After a couple of tough rounds of SuperCoach Racing this weekend we’re back in the sweet spot with loads of affordable Group 1 runners on offer.

So let’s get cracking reviewing the field for Round Five and see which rate the best in my metric.

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Farnan looks like a quality option in the G1 Coolmore Stud Stakes. Picture: Mark Evans/Getty ImagesSource:Getty Images

For those who are new to this column, each week I rank the leading contenders that offer a, hopefully, winning blend of popularity in the betting market and cheap SuperCoach price.

To compare apples with apples I have added a weighting to reflect the different points on offer for Group 1, 2, 3 and non black type races.

Below I list the 30 best rated horses, run through the stable I have selected and then throw in a bit of bonus analysis on the jockeys too.

THE 30 TOP-RATED HORSES FOR ROUND ONE (GROUP ONE IN BOLD):

FROM THIS LIST I HAVE SELECTED THE FOLLOWING STABLE OF 11 HORSES

Victoria Quay sits atop my ratings and I expect the filly will be the most popular emergency of the round as she’s just $75K and sits on the second line of betting in the G2 Wakeful Stakes. The favourite in the race is Personal, she comes into this after a fast-finishing second in the G1 Thousand Guineas at her last start and at $175K looks to have this race at her mercy.

I’ve one more G2 runner in my stable and that’s Octane. He’s got a great strike rate (seven wins from 15 starts), finished third in the G2 Schillaci at his last start and will appreciate the larger Flemington track.

From here on it’s all about Group 1 points for the Beasts with eight runners remaining.

The Victoria Derby is always a bit of a risk with young horses being asked to step out to the 2,500m and while Young Werther is the favourite I really like the chances of Cherry Tortoni. So I’ve taken both.

I’ve also loaded up in the Coolmore Stud Stakes – really loaded up – with three horses here. The race is a ‘stallion maker’ but it’s a filly, September Run, who is the best rated horse in my metric. She’s the favourite and she’s $50K cheaper than my other two runners. Wild Ruler won the G2 Roman Consul at his last start and the wide barrier is not an issue down the Flemington straight. Then there’s Golden Slipper winner Farnan, jockey Glen Boss is usually confident but he’s particularly so here and let’s hope Bossy gives another salute like he did when winning the Cox Plate last week.

The Empire Rose looks like there are a few chances but I can’t go past Odeum. She won a the G1 Thousand Guineas at her last start, has just 49kg here and is significantly cheaper than the other main hopes in the race.

Speaking of tricky races, none looks harder to pick with confidence than the Golden Eagle. There are 22 horse in the field and my pick, Funstar, has drawn the outside barrier. But the speed maps suggest she’ll be able to roll forward early and get some cover and she’ll enjoy the soft track too.

My last runner, Buffalo River, is one I’m not 100% confident in as The Cantala is a race full of genuine chances. But the Moroney gelding has a superb strike rate (12 starts 6-4-1) and should roll towards the lead here. He may not win but will give every chance of a top-5 finish and I’ll take that.

CAPTAIN: I’m flip flopping between Funstar and Farnan to carry my armband in Round 5. At this stage leaning towards Farnan.

MORE SUPERCOACH RACING NEWS

Our experts reveal their Round 5 SuperCoach stables

AND NOW TO JOCKEYS

It’s a bumper field of nominations because there’s no clear candidates – unlike last round when Jamie Kah really stood out … and I tipped her … and forgot to change my jockey from the previous round. That hurt.

Craig Williams has the best Melbourne book and Nash Rawiller/Jason Collett both look good up in Sydney. Hard to split them so just pick your favourite rider out of that trio I reckon.

Originally published asRound 5: The SuperCoach stable the bookies pick

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