The Nerds Who Beat Vegas Roulette With Science


� � 
LIVE � �  � � 


It's 1978 and two young men wearing white shirts , walk into a Las Vegas casino technology is simple   and roulette is the most popular casino game . everybody thinks is completely random it's   an unbeatable game however these two nerds are , using science to challenge the status quo and   everything we know about roulette is bound by , the laws of physics it's a true story like no   other a story that started on a college campus . a few years before two students are preparing to   to study Physics at the University of California . in their spare time like many other kids of their   age they're interested in art music literature . and free love it's the era of experimentation   but one of them is experimenting with something a  little different he's interested in Casino games   in particular beating roulette he's got dreams , to be a world-renowned physicist one day so at   first it's not about money his line of thinking . is simple roulette's inputs are fixed so the   outcome can't be random it will be a lot of work  but solving roulette will boost his chances of   reaching his dream to do it though he'll need help  so he entrusts his closest physics friend with his   plans at first he's apprehensive although after . several deep discussions and the possibility of   making millions he's on board the only question  is can science really beat Las Vegas roulette   to find out they need to study and measure  the game's fixed variables inside of Vegas   Casino the roulette wheels Dimensions the ball  speed and the wheels rotation are the first   variables of Interest they're aware that the , casinos might not like their science experiment   so they wear baggy long sleeve shirts on their . first visit to conceal dictaphone discreetly held   around the wrist this first visit is all about  collecting roulette data and understanding how   casinos operate quickly they learned that Vegas . casinos use BC Wills regulation roulette wheels   roulette is one of the most most popular games in  casinos because it's so simple gamblers can bet on   red black or numbers 1 to 36 when a ball is spun . around the wheel the house Edge on an American   roulette wheel which contains a0 is 5.26% it's a , key piece to the puzzle because whatever Casino   they visit they know the wheels will be identical , however with different croupiers in different   spins each time they need to find an accurate way  of tracking the Wheels speed this is where the   dict phone comes in by tapping an index finger . on the recording mechanism each time the wheel   spins past a fix point in the room they're able , to quantify it spin speed similarly when the ball   spins around the roulette wheel they'll do exactly . the same suddenly they now have two data sets for   both ball speed and wheel speed better still  they can measure how the wheel speed decreases   over additional rotations and just maybe where the  ball will eventually land rouette is becoming more   predictable by the second but these early stages , are full of obstacles from hiding the equipment   to tapping the microphone at the wrong time in  practice it's awkward and complicated however the   theory is Sound by mapping out all of roulette's  inputs and testing them over a large enough sample   repeat patterns start to emerge patterns that , weren't obvious to the naked eye quickly it   becomes clear that two inputs are by far the most . influential where the leaves the roulette wheels   out of track and the wheels position of rotation , as that happens at this stage they realize if the   inputs are accurate they can identify a section  of five numbers where the ball will land now it   won't guarantee the exact number each time but . it will give them a massive Advantage if their   math is right they're seven times more likely  to select the correct number but to record   the relevant information in a casino and then  act upon it in a matter of seconds is no small   task a task that's made more difficult by their  already inadequate financial situation getting   this wrong will see them go bust very quickly they  need to be absolutely certain they need to Source   their own BC Wills roulette whe so they can carry , out further tests and refine the data fortunately   Las Vegas roulette wheels are manufactured by a , small independent supplier pulls gaming devices   finding a BC Wills roulette wheel is easier than . they thought immediately they get one shipped to   to their dorm room at the University of California , the plan is to fit the roulette will with a series   of triggers and recording mechanisms using sound  and photography so they can record exactly where   the ball is and where the ball lands over a series , of thousands of spins but there's a problem the   Port of Oakland have prohibited shipping for , the roulette will it's being held temporarily   at the container facility and further information . has been requested by the shipping company DNE   immediately jumps in the car and makes a 3-hour . drive on arrival he's greeted with an extremely   awkward situation two FBI officers have the crate . and they want to know why he's shipping a Vegas   roulette wheel across the country clearly they  think he's operating an illegal gambling operation   at the time there are significant restrictions . pertaining to Interstate gambling why are you   shipping Casino equipment what are you planning  to do with it you know gambling is legal right   their questions are Relentless but after a couple . of hours the very anxious physics student is free   to leave it appears the FBI have bought into  his cover story he's told them that it's an   antique collector's item that won't be used 


for gambling later that night he sets up the   roulette will in his dorm room now they're getting  somewhere now they can run live experiments on the   exact roulette wheels the Las Vegas casinos use  a year after they started DNE farmer and Norman   Packard are now sinking all of their spare  time into studying roulette and probability   to them they're on the cusp of something big very  big but to some of their friends it's complete   Madness the obsession has started to impact D's , academic scores to the point where he has to take   a year out but to him it's totally worth it his , plans to beat roulette are going to make them Rich   to pull in additional help and raise funding they  officially registered their own company the name   emonic Enterprises it's a strong hint at their , philosophical Outlook they don't just want to beat   the casino they want to use the proceeds to start , their own commune and reject the restrictions of   society back in the dorm room they've erected . a set of metal poles tape wires and create a   towering structure over their roulette will it's . nicknamed the guillotine the structure's purpose   is to take photos of the whe at the perfect moment  at a 90° angle over the center of the wheel is a   camera linked to the camera is an oscilloscope to  keep track of motion a microphone will trigger the   camera's shutter at the precise moment the ball , falls off the roulette wheels out of track then   once the ball settles the numbers and image are . recorded together the guillotine allows them to   accurately measure the numerical distribution , of the wheel in line with where the ball had   moved it's genius after refining the process and  collecting multiple data sets they soon realized   that they now have a system that allows them to  model and track any roulette wheel after tracking   it for around about 30 minutes to maintain , accuracy they had to collect this data while   the whe is in play inside the casino Beyond this , there are only four variables left to factor in on   a spin by spin basis all of which are controlled . by the creier they have to identify the position   the wheel is in the speed the rotor is turning , at the location of the ball and the speed of the   ball this solution is relatively simple in theory , although tougher in practice by monitoring when a   number on the wheel passes a fixed point in the , room and then passes it again they have both the   position the wheel is in and the speed the rotor , is turning at simultaneously monitoring when the   ball passes the same fixed Point twice in a row , they have the location of the ball and its speed   the hardest part is discretely collecting all , of this information and then quickly running   the calculations it seems almost impossible but . they've come so far so there's only one solution a   computer with D's computer programming experience  they de side is worth a shot writing the program   isn't the hard part though hiding a small but  reliable computer under their clothes is as far   as they're aware nobody has managed this before  the consequences of being caught are potentially   disastrous in 1975 Las Vegas is run by the mob the . law is the least of their worries after several   trials and many failures Norman has custom built , the hardware the computer's main circuit board   will be strapped to the players chest with thin , wires running down the inside of the trouser leg   where a simple switch will be taped to the inside  of their shoe this is how they'll control the   data entry following the data inputs that are made , their secret computer will run a formula involving   trigonometric functions after it's processed , the calculations it'll then signal back where   they should be but with a low budget they're  running on favors and donations from Friends   the computer's outputs will be managed via a small . electromagnetic device taped to the player's chest   next to the computer's m motherboard it's , not ideal but they've sourced these pads   from a psychology experiment on campus the whole . computer will be powered by batteries stashed on   the player's side under their armpit at last their  dream is about to become a reality they're ready   for their first hit they're ready to beat Vegas , roulette with science on a cold winter afternoon   in 1977 a very nervous D farmer steps into a , Las Vegas casino despite the cold weather he's   already broken a sweat he picks a roulette table  sits down and starts betting low stakes it takes   a while but eventually he settles into a rhythm . gently tapping his secret input switch twice to   track the wheel's rotation and twice to track the , ball speed on his chest the computer immediately   gets to work it twinges back sending mild shocks , across his chest the system is working from start   to finish he has around 12 to 18 seconds to input . the data receive the signal and place the bet it's   awkward but the advantage is clear they've given . themselves a 20% advantage over the house but he's   nervous and sensible so he keeps the stakes low it  isn't long before he finds himself chuckling the   chips are starting to build up he's making money . but with money comes attention he's noticed a man   holding a radio in the background he suspects , it's a casino Pit Boss it's an unexpected turn   although currently he has a bigger problem to  worry about amongst the excitement of winning   and the nerves of using a hidden computer DNE has , worked up quite a sweat the sweat is amplifying   the shocks the computer makes on his body he . doesn't want to adjust the computer at the table   that would be obvious so he makes a break for the  restroom the casino Pit Boss follows him in it's   his worst nightmare what now is he about to get ,


caught hidden in the toilet cubicle he holds his   breath and gently peels the computer's Electro . magnetic shock pad from his chest he's sweating   profusely and now he's questioning if this was  even a good idea the crackle of the pit boss's   radio breaks the silence he's being called to  an emergency elsewhere in the casino relief with   the computer's output hanging under his shirt he  makes a break for the casino's cashier and then   the exit it's a closed call but he's got away . with it and now he knows their system works he   just needs to scale up the the stakes and find a , creative way to hit Vegas casinos hard in order to   make millions of dollars Norman and DNE know they  must expand the team hitting the casinos in pairs   is the idea one player to collect roulette data  and Signal which numbers are hot and another to   place bets for example if the data taker bets . on even it means the wheel has been accurately   profiled they know Casino staff pull consistent , winners aside for questioning so it will take   the heat away from and the player wearing the , computer under their shirt plus it means the   better doesn't have to concentrate too much they , can chat with the creier and hold his attention   within weeks they've bought 20 other science , students into the fold they promis to evenly   distribute profits amongst the group and fund a . scientific Community if it works given the era's   social views it's a Savvy move at this point the  company has spent its initial $10,000 investment   on experiments and equipment to beat the casino . they don't have a huge bank roll to use so   the plan is to start small and gradually increase , the stakes as the chips build up but it leaves one   question on everyone's mind what if we get caught  Norman explains that it's extremely unlikely   because the computer will only predict a five . number section of the wheel to bet on therefore   the player placing the bets will put down multiple . bets on the roulette table the bets will be spaced   out because they're not next to each other like . on the wheel it means their betting patterns will   look totally random to the casino cupia plus . technically speaking their system's perfectly   legal being physics nerds that have barely set , foot in a Vegas casino before it seems like a   reasonable answer I mean those greedy casinos make . enough money already right their aim is to launch   a Las Vegas assault over the summer break in the , months leading up to it between cramming for exams   they need to assemble more computers and put their , new recruits through some serious practice their   actions need to be second nature seamlessly . operating each roulette hit one after another   he a challenging phase with new equipment  problems and Norman thinks they're moving   too fast but D won't have it their Las Vegas . fantasy is no longer a dream it's August of   1978 and 16 Babyface physics students have arrived . in Las Vegas they're paired into eight roulette   beating squads it's been an exhausting last week  and tension is running high within the group but   they're finally ready as they step under the Vegas  lights there's a quiet anticipation backed by a   mixture of adrenaline and nerves they spread  out targeting different casinos at the same   time Do's pair go to Harris and Normans hit the  Silver Nugget the data collection begins and the   bets start to follow first is $2 bets then five . followed by seven things are going well in the   first hour D's team is up $1,200 equivalent to . $77,000 in today's money the seven other teams   scattered around Vegas are attempting to do the  same the feeling is euphoric until Casino security   begin to laer nearby this beginner's luck from a . couple of young hippies hasn't gone unnoticed they   stick out like a sore thumb amongst the casino's  regular clientele after an evening's play the wi   team regroup amongst the pairs there are several , concerns about angryl looking Casino staff this   is not the problem that they had envisioned one , of the other team's data takers has been sweating   heavily much like D's first is it the damage . is worse though she's lost several layers of   skin from repeat electromagnetic shocks a little , blood stains her blows there's multiple complaints   about the malfunctioning equipment in an era of , primitive technology it's problematic with broken   wires electric shars and the threat of being  dragged into a back room tension amongst the group   intensifies Norman blames D's persistent pressure  to rush ahead but DNE can only think about staking   bigger if all of the teams had reached $50  Stakes they'd be sitting on quar of a million   dollars now the risk of a running with Casino . security might seem worthwhile then they huddle   together in a Vagas parking lot to count the money . undoubtedly they've found a way to scientifically   beat Vegas roulette but it's only generated  $10,000 profit and a whole load of problems   they face a conundra reinvest the lot Source , more equipment and go again or call it quits   share out the profit and remain friends long into . the future I'm glad to say after much reflection   Professor DNE farmer Norman Packard and this , band of Misfits decide to take option two in   2012 DNE broke his silence on exactly how it was . done he said I kept it silent because I didn't   want to communicate any information that might  prevent anyone from taking the casino's money,

All Devices iOS Android Chromecast